Thanks for this interesting thread - this is very curious! We don't produce medium-range MJO forecasts operationally, but using some of my experimental research code (which gives similar results to the op fc, see results from 21st) we don't see the same jump to within the circle: pic.twitter.com/9zbzqV9mnW

— Dr Rebecca Emerton (@BeccaLizE) February 24, 2022