Today's 12z Op ECMWF illustrated one possible solution with ex-#Paullete where the low-level vortex gradually becomes better defined & closes back off over the next 3-4 days.

Its +96 h forecast position is just a few hundred km away from where it was 2 weeks ago. pic.twitter.com/HSJ3QmOztu

— Philippe Papin (@pppapin) September 30, 2020